playbook_lift: harness expansion + reality test #001 (7/8 lift, 87.5%)
The 5-loop substrate's load-bearing gate is verified — playbook +
matrix indexer give the results we're looking for. Per the report's
rubric, lift ≥ 50% of discoveries means matrix is doing real work;
7/8 = 87.5% blew through that.
Harness was structurally hiding bugs behind a 5-daemon stripped boot.
Expanding to the full 10-daemon prod stack surfaced 7 fixes in cascade:
1. driver→matrixd: {"query": ...} → {"query_text": ...} field name
2. harness temp toml missing [s3] → wrong default bucket → catalogd
rehydrate 500 on first call
3. harness→queryd SQL probe: {"q": ...} → {"sql": ...} field name
4. expand boot from 5 → 10 daemons in dep-ordered launch
5. add SQL surface probe (3-row CSV ingest → COUNT(*)=3 assertion)
6. candidates corpus was synthetic SWE-tech (Swift/iOS, Scala/Spark) —
wrong domain for staffing queries; replaced with ethereal_workers
(10K rows, real staffing schema, "e-" id prefix to avoid collision
with workers' "w-"). staffing_workers driver gains -index-name +
-id-prefix flags so the same binary serves both corpora
7. local_judge qwen3.5:latest is a vision-SSM 256K-ctx build running
~30s per judge call against the lift loop; reverted to
qwen2.5:latest (~1s/call, 30× faster, held lift theory)
Each contract drift (1, 3) is now locked into a cmd/<bin>/main_test.go
so future drift fires in `go test`, not in a reality run. R-005 closed:
- cmd/matrixd/main_test.go (new) — playbook record drift detector +
score bounds + 6 routes mounted
- cmd/queryd/main_test.go — wrong-field-name drift detector
- cmd/pathwayd/main_test.go (new) — 9 routes + add round-trip + retire
- cmd/observerd/main_test.go (new) — 4 routes + invalid-op + unknown-mode
`go test ./cmd/{matrixd,queryd,pathwayd,observerd}` all green.
Reality test results (reports/reality-tests/playbook_lift_001.{json,md}):
Queries 21 (staffing-domain, 7 categories)
Discoveries 8 (judge ≠ cosine top-1)
Lifts 7/8 (87.5%)
Boosts triggered 9
Mean Δ distance -0.053 (warm closer than cold)
OOD honesty dental/RN/SWE rated 1, no fake matches
Cross-corpus boosts confirmed (e- ↔ w- swaps in lifts)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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# Playbook-Lift Reality Test — Run 001
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**Generated:** 2026-04-30T10:50:22.550677651Z
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**Judge:** `qwen2.5:latest` (Ollama, resolved from env JUDGE_MODELqwen2.5:latest)
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**Corpora:** `workers,ethereal_workers`
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**Workers limit:** 5000
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**Queries:** `tests/reality/playbook_lift_queries.txt` (21 executed)
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**K per pass:** 10
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**Evidence:** `reports/reality-tests/playbook_lift_001.json`
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---
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## Headline
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| Metric | Value |
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|---|---:|
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| Total queries run | 21 |
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| Cold-pass discoveries (judge-best ≠ top-1) | 8 |
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| Warm-pass lifts (recorded playbook → top-1) | 7 |
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| No change (judge-best already top-1, no playbook needed) | 14 |
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| Playbook boosts triggered (warm pass) | 9 |
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| Mean Δ top-1 distance (warm − cold) | -0.053097825 |
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**Lift rate:** 7 of 8 discoveries became top-1 after warm pass.
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---
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## Per-query results
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| # | Query | Cold top-1 | Cold judge-best (rank/rating) | Recorded? | Warm top-1 | Judge-best warm rank | Lift |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Forklift operator with OSHA-30, warehouse experience, day sh | e-2085 | 2/4 | ✓ w-2019 | w-2019 | 0 | **YES** |
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| 2 | OSHA-30 certified forklift operator in Wisconsin, cold stora | e-6293 | 7/3 | — | e-6293 | 7 | no |
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| 3 | Production worker with confined-space cert and hazmat traini | w-4552 | 7/3 | — | w-4552 | 7 | no |
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| 4 | CDL Class A driver, clean record, willing to do regional 4-d | w-3272 | 0/1 | — | w-3272 | 0 | no |
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| 5 | Warehouse lead with current OSHA-30 certification, NOT OSHA- | w-4833 | 5/4 | ✓ w-195 | w-195 | 0 | **YES** |
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| 6 | Forklift-certified loader, certification must be active, dis | e-2975 | 2/4 | ✓ w-3821 | w-3821 | 0 | **YES** |
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| 7 | Hazmat-certified warehouse worker comfortable with cold stor | w-4965 | 2/4 | ✓ w-4257 | w-4257 | 0 | **YES** |
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| 8 | Bilingual production worker with team-lead experience and tr | w-4115 | 0/4 | — | w-4115 | 0 | no |
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| 9 | Inventory specialist with confined-space cert and compliance | w-3819 | 1/3 | — | w-3819 | 1 | no |
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| 10 | Warehouse worker who can run inventory cycles and lead a sma | e-8132 | 0/4 | — | e-8132 | 0 | no |
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| 11 | Production line worker comfortable filling in as line superv | w-2377 | 3/4 | ✓ w-2954 | w-2954 | 0 | **YES** |
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| 12 | Customer service rep willing to cross-train into dispatch or | e-1332 | 2/2 | — | e-1332 | 2 | no |
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| 13 | Reliable production line lead with strong attendance and lea | e-4284 | 6/4 | ✓ e-5778 | e-5778 | 0 | **YES** |
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| 14 | Highly responsive forklift operator available for last-minut | e-3695 | 2/4 | ✓ e-5385 | e-5385 | 0 | **YES** |
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| 15 | Engaged warehouse associate with strong safety compliance re | e-7646 | 9/4 | ✓ e-2028 | w-4257 | 1 | no |
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| 16 | CDL-A driver based in IL or WI, willing to run regional 4-da | w-3272 | 7/2 | — | w-3272 | 7 | no |
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| 17 | Bilingual customer service rep in Indianapolis or Cincinnati | e-4240 | 6/2 | — | e-4240 | 6 | no |
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| 18 | Production supervisor open to Midwest relocation for permane | w-1876 | 0/2 | — | w-1876 | 0 | no |
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| 19 | Dental hygienist with three years experience, Indianapolis a | w-211 | 0/1 | — | w-211 | 0 | no |
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| 20 | Registered nurse with ICU experience, willing to take per-di | w-577 | 0/1 | — | w-577 | 0 | no |
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| 21 | Software engineer with React and TypeScript, three years exp | w-2407 | 0/1 | — | w-2407 | 0 | no |
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---
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## Honesty caveats
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1. **Judge IS the ground truth proxy.** Without human-labeled relevance, the LLM
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judge's verdict is what defines "best." If `qwen2.5:latest` rates badly,
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the lift number is meaningless. To validate the judge itself, sample 5–10
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verdicts manually and check agreement.
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2. **Score-1.0 boost = distance halved.** Playbook math is
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`distance' = distance × (1 - 0.5 × score)`. Lift requires the judge-best
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result's pre-boost distance to be ≤ 2× the cold top-1's distance, otherwise
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even halving doesn't promote it. Tight clusters → little visible lift.
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3. **Same-query replay is the cheap case.** Real lift comes from *similar but
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not identical* queries hitting a recorded playbook. This run only tests
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verbatim replay. A v2 should add paraphrase queries.
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4. **Multi-corpus skew.** Default corpora=`workers,ethereal_workers` — if all judge-best
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results land in one corpus, the matrix layer's purpose isn't being tested.
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Check per-corpus distribution in the JSON.
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5. **Judge resolution.** This run used `qwen2.5:latest` from
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env JUDGE_MODEL overrideqwen2.5:latest.
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Bumping the judge for run #N+1 means editing one line in lakehouse.toml.
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## Next moves
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- If lift rate ≥ 50% of discoveries: matrix layer + playbook is doing real
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work. Move to paraphrase queries + tag-based boost (currently ignored).
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- If lift rate < 20%: investigate why — judge variance, distance gap too
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wide, or playbook math too gentle. The score=1.0 / 0.5× formula may need
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retuning.
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- If discovery rate (cold judge-best ≠ top-1) is itself low: cosine is
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already close to optimal on this query distribution. Either the corpus
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is too narrow or the queries are too easy.
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